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Bitcoin Mining Scenario Simulator

Model your mining operation across the past, present, and future.

Calculators answer individual mining questions. The Simulator evaluates an entire mining decision across time. Need a quick answer? Try the Fleet ROI calculator.

Saved input sources

Based on network data from Oct 14, 2026, 05:15:04 UTC

Bitcoin price

$83,466 · Hourly price collection (saved snapshot)

Updated Oct 14, 2026, 05:15:04 UTC

Network difficulty

132.72 T · mempool.space (saved snapshot)

Updated Oct 14, 2026, 05:15:04 UTC

Block subsidy

3.125 BTC · Bitcoin protocol

Effective since Apr 20, 2024

Fee revenue per block

0.0179 BTC (7-day) · 0.0173 BTC (24-hour) · mempool.space reward stats (saved snapshot)

Updated Oct 14, 2026, 05:15:04 UTC

Network snapshot

Block 971,354 · 950.0 EH/s (difficulty-implied)

Hashrate derived from current difficulty via mempool.space (saved snapshot)

Step 1. Define the fleet

Machines come from the site's miner catalog. Prices are point-in-time observations — enter what you actually paid.

11.0 J/TH · Air · Available

Total miners
10
Fleet hashrate
3.18 PH/s
Connected load
35.0 kW
Facility load
36.7 kW
Avg efficiency
11.0 J/TH
Acquisition cost
$81,030

My Fleet — results summary

This is scenario analysis, not a prediction. Results depend on the assumptions shown below.

HISTORICAL · what happened

Loading history…

CURRENT · where you stand

Net $57/day at $83,466 BTC. Shutdown price $44,502 (87.6% above).

FORWARD · 24 months
  • Bear: -$70,981 net, ROI −87.6%, shuts down month 13
  • Base: -$60,735 net, ROI −75.0%, shuts down month 19
  • Bull: -$47,502 net, ROI −58.6%
TODAY

Current fleet economics

Where does the operation stand at today's price and difficulty?

Production
BTC / day
0.00149 BTC
BTC / month
0.04519 BTC
BTC / year (est.)
0.54225 BTC
Days to mine 1 BTC
673
Revenue
Revenue / day
$124.00
Revenue / month
$3,772
Revenue / year
$45,259
Pool fees / day
$2.48
Power economics
Electricity / day
$64.79
Facility draw
36.7 kW
Revenue per MWh
$143.54
Profit per MWh
$65.67
Profit per MW / year
$563,742
Profitability
Net profit / day
$56.73
Net profit / month
$1,725
Gross mining margin
45.7%
Operating thresholds
Break-even electricity
$0.1407/kWh
Shutdown BTC price
$44,502
Margin vs shutdown
87.6%
Network position
Share of network hashrate
0.000335%
Expected time per block found
5.7 years

Same formulas as the Profitability and Turn-off calculators. Uptime reduces both mining output and power use; PUE and PSU settings raise power use only.

Bitcoin mining simulator FAQ

What is the Bitcoin Mining Scenario Simulator?

It models one mining fleet across three stages: how it would have performed historically since purchase, its economics at today's price and difficulty, and Bear/Base/Bull forecasts over 12–36 months with halvings applied automatically.

Is this a price prediction?

No. Every forward figure is scenario analysis that depends on the price, difficulty, and cost assumptions shown. Change the assumptions and the results change.

How is the Simulator different from the Fleet ROI calculator?

Calculators answer individual mining questions. The Simulator evaluates an entire mining decision across time, using the same underlying formulas.