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Difficulty Change Gauges

Four gauges above the difficulty adjustment chart summarise the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty over 1, 7, 30, and 90 day windows.

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Formula

For each window N ∈ {1, 7, 30, 90} days:

change_N = (difficulty_now − difficulty_N_days_ago) / difficulty_N_days_ago × 100

We pick the most recent difficulty sample ≤ (now − N days) from the same series that powers the difficulty adjustment chart. Because Bitcoin re-targets every 2016 blocks (~2 weeks), the 1D and 7D gauges are often 0% mid-epoch — that is expected, not a bug.

Interpretation Ranges

> +5% · Ramping — Significant hashrate influx; margins compressing.

0% to +5% · Rising — Network growing at trend pace.

Around 0% · Flat — Mid-epoch or a stable retarget.

-5% to 0% · Falling — Miners powering down; incumbents gain share.

< -5% · Capitulation — Large miner exit — often a historically favourable entry window.

Notes

Data source: the same mempool.space difficulty history feed used by the main difficulty adjustment chart.

The 90D gauge is the most robust signal — it always spans multiple retargets. Use 1D / 7D primarily to time entry near a fresh adjustment.